3 Aug · 10:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Marcin Balcerzak
ELO 1632
FormLWWLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Balcerzak
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1510
FormLWLWW
63%
37%
🌟Balcerzak goes over total as favourite 67% (12)
Fair odds · Balcerzak
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+122
H2H13-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+122)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-7)