3 Aug · 10:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Michal Wolny
ELO 1412
FormWWLLL
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Wolny
WS
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1193
FormWLLLL
72%
28%
Fair odds · Wolny
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~74 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+219
H2H37-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+219)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-3)