3 Aug · 11:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1455
FormWWLLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Skotniczny
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1627
FormWLWLW
32%
68%
🌟Adamus goes over total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Skotniczny
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~78 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+172
H2H11-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+172)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-7)