3 Aug · 12:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1460
FormWWWLL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1628
FormWWWWW
32%
68%
🌟Adamus goes over total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~78 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+168
H2H18-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+168)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-15)