3 Aug · 12:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1630
FormLWWLW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Skotniczny
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1401
FormLLLLW
73%
27%
Fair odds · Skotniczny
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 60% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~75 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+229
H2H31-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+229)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-30)