3 Aug · 13:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1476
FormWWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Adamus
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1392
FormWLLLW
59%
41%
🌟Adamus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (16)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~79 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+84
H2H9-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-6)