3 Aug · 13:50 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1460
FormLLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Klocek
KR
🇵🇱Kamil Rudomina
ELO 1452
FormLLWWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Klocek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 40% · 2.53· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H3-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.