3 Aug · 15:05 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Klocek
ELO 1468
FormWLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Sobel
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1496
FormLWLLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Sobel
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+28
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.