3 Aug · 15:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1611
FormLLLWW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Skotniczny
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1386
FormLLWLL
73%
27%
Fair odds · Skotniczny
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~76 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+225
H2H37-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+225)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-15)