3 Aug · 15:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1617
FormWWWLL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Wichowski
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1417
FormWWLLL
71%
29%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~75 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+200
H2H53-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+200)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (53-20)