3 Aug · 15:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1479
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Adamus
GJ
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1413
FormLWWLL
57%
43%
🌟Adamus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (16)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 57% · 1.75· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+66
H2H14-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-8)