3 Aug · 17:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1601
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Wichowski
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1620
FormWWWWL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H18-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.