3 Aug · 17:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1479
FormWWWWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Skotniczny
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1611
FormLLLWW
36%
64%
🌟Adamus goes over total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Skotniczny
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+132
H2H11-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+132)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-8)