3 Aug · 18:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1483
FormWLWWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Wichowski
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1620
FormWWWWL
35%
65%
🌟Adamus goes over total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+137
H2H25-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+137)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-11)