3 Aug · 18:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1312
FormLLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Wrobel
DW
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1388
FormLLWWL
42%
58%
🌟Wrobel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (19)
Fair odds · Wrobel
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+76
H2H10-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-7)