3 Aug · 18:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AE
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1272
FormLLWLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Kowalczyk
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1394
FormLLLLW
37%
63%
🔥 Underdog lean · Eliasz🌟Kowalczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (25)
Fair odds · Kowalczyk
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+122
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+122)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)