3 Aug · 18:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1385
FormWLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Skorski
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1323
FormWWWWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Skorski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+62
H2H48-49
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+62)