3 Aug · 20:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
DW
🇵🇱Dariusz Wrobel
ELO 1377
FormLLLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Wrobel
AE
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1287
FormWWLLW
60%
40%
🔥 Underdog lean · Eliasz🌟Wrobel rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (19)
Fair odds · Wrobel
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+90
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)