3 Aug · 21:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1395
FormLWLLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Kowalczyk
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1321
FormLWWWW
58%
42%
🌟Kowalczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (25)
Fair odds · Kowalczyk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 47% · 2.11· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+74
H2H8-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)