3 Aug · 22:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1308
FormLWWLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kowalczyk
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1393
FormWLLWL
41%
59%
🌟Kowalczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (25)
Fair odds · Kowalczyk
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+85
H2H11-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)