3 Aug · 23:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MP
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1314
FormWLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Piecowski
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1249
FormLWLLL
57%
43%
🌟Gluszek rarely covers set handicap as underdog 31% (13)
Fair odds · Piecowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 41% · 2.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+65
H2H14-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)