4 Aug · 00:15 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1395
FormWLWLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Kowalczyk
AE
🇵🇱Adrian Eliasz
ELO 1272
FormLLLWW
63%
37%
🔥 Underdog lean · Eliasz🌟Kowalczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (25)
Fair odds · Kowalczyk
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+123
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+123)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)