4 Aug · 00:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1545
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1578
FormLWWWL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+33
H2H93-72
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.