4 Aug · 00:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1249
FormLWLLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Kowalczyk
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1395
FormWLWLL
34%
66%
🌟Kowalczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 24% (25)
Fair odds · Kowalczyk
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 49% · 2.04· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+146
H2H8-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+146)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-7)