4 Aug · 15:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WB
🇵🇱Witold Buczynski
ELO 1416
FormLWLWW
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Durda
MD
🇵🇱Michal Durda
ELO 1730
FormWWWWW
20%
80%
Fair odds · Durda
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 68%Total ~72 pts
0-3
40%
1-3
28%
2-3
12%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+314
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+314)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)