4 Aug · 12:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MD
🇵🇱Michal Durda
ELO 1730
FormWWWWW
87%Win chancemodel fair 1.15Durda
KK
🇵🇱Kamil Kowalski
ELO 1293
FormWLLLL
87%
13%
Fair odds · Durda
Model 87% · 1.15vsMarket 92% · 1.08· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 74%Total ~70 pts
3-0
43%
3-1
31%
3-2
13%
2-3
6%
1-3
4%
Elo Gap+437
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+437)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)