4 Aug · 11:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1421
FormWLLLL
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Durda
MD
🇵🇱Michal Durda
ELO 1730
FormWWWWW
20%
80%
Fair odds · Durda
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 63%Total ~74 pts
0-3
34%
1-3
29%
2-3
17%
3-2
8%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+309
H2H7-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+309)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-0)