Mariusz Baron vs Jerzy Pelka — TT Elite Series

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04 Aug · 05:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Mariusz Baron

ELO 1467

3-1Final setsBaron won

🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka

ELO 1474

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Baron at 52%. The actual result was Mariusz Baron 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Mariusz Baron — profile →Jerzy Pelka — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Pelka favoured — closing 1.85

Upset

Total 77.5

68 points played

Under

Set handicap

Pelka −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Pelka −0.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Baron is favoured to win, below means Jerzy Pelka.

▲ Mariusz Baronpre 56% → final 90%

Jerzy Pelka ▼

Biggest swing 73 ptsBaron recovered from 27%67 points · 4 games