4 Aug · 13:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1421
FormWLLLL
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Wojtaszczyk
WW
🇵🇱Wojciech Wojtaszczyk
ELO 1649
FormWLWLW
27%
73%
Fair odds · Wojtaszczyk
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~75 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+228
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+228)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)