Rafal Idaczyk vs Jerzy Pelka — TT Elite Series

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04 Aug · 07:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk

ELO 1468

3-1Final setsIdaczyk won

🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka

ELO 1474

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Idaczyk at 56%. The actual result was Rafal Idaczyk 3-1 — the pick was correct.

Rafal Idaczyk — profile →Jerzy Pelka — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Jerzy Pelka favoured — closing 1.65

Upset

Total 77.5

82 points played

Over

Set handicap

Jerzy Pelka −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Jerzy Pelka −2.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-1 at close

5.8

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Idaczyk is favoured to win, below means Jerzy Pelka.

▲ Rafal Idaczykpre 60% → final 96%

Jerzy Pelka ▼

Biggest swing 43 pts72 points · 4 games