Mariusz Baron vs Rafal Idaczyk — TT Elite Series

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04 Aug · 09:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed

🇵🇱Mariusz Baron

ELO 1467

3-0Final setsBaron won

🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk

ELO 1468

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Idaczyk at 54%. The actual result was Mariusz Baron 3-0 — the underdog won.

Mariusz Baron — profile →Rafal Idaczyk — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Mariusz Baron favoured — closing 1.6

Favourite won

Total 77.5

58 points played

Under

Set handicap

Mariusz Baron −1.5 sets

Covered

Points handicap

Mariusz Baron −3.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Exact score

market priced 3-0 at close

4.8

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Baron is favoured to win, below means Rafal Idaczyk.

▲ Mariusz Baronpre 42% → final 99%

Rafal Idaczyk ▼

Biggest swing 57 ptsBaron recovered from 42%57 points · 3 games