4 Aug · 12:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KW
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1645
FormLLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Wloczko
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1641
FormLWWWW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kosmal🌟Kosmal covers set handicap as underdog 67% (24)
Fair odds · Wloczko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.