4 Aug · 12:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RI
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1468
FormLWWWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1569
FormWWLLL
39%
61%
🌟Idaczyk stays under total as underdog 72% (25)
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+101
H2H11-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+101)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-4)