4 Aug · 12:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1531
FormWLWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Zochniak
PB
🇵🇱Przemyslaw Blocho
ELO 1508
FormLLLLL
53%
47%
🌟Zochniak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (27)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+23
H2H15-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.