4 Aug · 13:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1606
FormWWWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Solilo
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1538
FormWWWLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Solilo
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+68
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)