4 Aug · 14:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1529
FormLWLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Wisniewski
KW
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1581
FormWWLLW
44%
56%
🌟Wisniewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 21% (34)
Fair odds · Wisniewski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+52
H2H17-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-8)