4 Aug · 15:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1430
FormWLLWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1564
FormWLWWL
36%
64%
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 74% · 1.36· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+134
H2H15-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+134)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-9)