4 Aug · 15:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1606
FormWWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Solilo
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1529
FormLWLWW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Solilo
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+77
H2H1-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)