4 Aug · 16:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AD
🇵🇱Artur Daniel
ELO 1690
FormWWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Daniel
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1640
FormWLLLW
56%
44%
🌟Kosmal covers set handicap as underdog 67% (24)
Fair odds · Daniel
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+50
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+50)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)