4 Aug · 16:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1436
FormLWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Pelka
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1493
FormWWLWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Pelka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 67% · 1.49· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+57
H2H17-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)