4 Aug · 18:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
TW
🇵🇱Tomasz Wrzalik
ELO 1411
FormWLWWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1596
FormLWWLW
31%
69%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~76 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+185
H2H31-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+185)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-3)