4 Aug · 19:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1385
FormLWWLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Kowalczyk
WG
🇵🇱Wojciech Gluszek
ELO 1258
FormWLWLW
64%
36%
🌟Kowalczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (26)
Fair odds · Kowalczyk
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+127
H2H9-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+127)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-7)