4 Aug · 18:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RI
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1433
FormLLLLL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1568
FormWWLWL
36%
64%
🌟Idaczyk stays under total as underdog 72% (25)
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+135
H2H12-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+135)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-4)