4 Aug · 19:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1408
FormLLLLL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Nocun
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1598
FormLLWWW
30%
70%
🌟Nocun stays under total as favourite 68% (37)
Fair odds · Nocun
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~76 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
26%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+190
H2H31-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+190)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-25)