4 Aug · 19:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KS
🇵🇱Kacper Slawinski
ELO 1551
FormWWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Slawinski
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1482
FormLLWWL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Slawinski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+69
H2H19-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-6)