4 Aug · 20:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DS
🇵🇱Dariusz Szlubowski
ELO 1508
FormWWLWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Szlubowski
JR
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1331
FormWLWLL
69%
31%
🔥 Underdog lean · Rolak🌟Rolak covers set handicap as underdog 82% (28)
Fair odds · Szlubowski
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~76 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+177
H2H17-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+177)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-1)