4 Aug · 19:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JS
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1516
FormLLLWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1666
FormWWLLW
34%
66%
🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 71% (45)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+150
H2H26-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+150)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-11)