4 Aug · 21:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Molenda
ELO 1788
FormLWWWW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Molenda
ZN
🇵🇱Zbigniew Nocun
ELO 1598
FormLLWWW
70%
30%
Fair odds · Molenda
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 70% · 1.42· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 53%Total ~77 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
26%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+190
H2H19-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+190)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-1)