4 Aug · 21:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KD
🇵🇱Kamil Delikatny
ELO 1452
FormWLLWW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1666
FormWWLLW
28%
72%
🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 71% (45)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~75 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+214
H2H19-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+214)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-15)