4 Aug · 21:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1373
FormWLLLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Szlubowski
DS
🇵🇱Dariusz Szlubowski
ELO 1500
FormLWWLW
36%
64%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kowalczyk🌟Szlubowski goes over total as favourite 77% (13)
Fair odds · Szlubowski
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+127
H2H18-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+127)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-7)